Spring Kickoff: 2016 Outfield Projections

Span
Photo Credit | San Francisco Giants

San Francisco Giants 2016 Projections:

Outfield

Hunter Pence | RF | Age 33

2015 Projection: 543 AB, .276, .332, 20 HR, 78 RBI, 44 BB, 108 K

2015 Performance: 207 AB, .275, .327, 9 HR, 40 RBI, 16 BB, 48 K, 4 SB

2016 Projection

  • AB: 589
  • AVG: .274
  • OBP: .331
  • HR: 21
  • RBI: 91
  • BB: 48
  • K: 123
  • SB: 15

Forecast: Pence may be getting older, but he’s still one of the best athletes in the league. He was playing All-Star caliber ball when he was on the field last year, and he’s got his sights set on regaining his ironman status this season. All fluke injuries aside, I see no reason to believe the Rev. will be slowing down in 2016.

Angel Pagan | LF | Age 34

2015 Projection: 456 AB, .285, .333, 5 HR, 39 RBI, 35 BB, 65 K

2015 Performance: 512 AB, .262, .303, 3 HR, 37 RBI, 32 BB, 93 K, 12 SB

2016 Projection

  • AB: 369
  • AVG: .271
  • OBP: .318
  • HR: 3
  • RBI: 27
  • BB: 26
  • K: 62
  • SB: 9

Forecast: Next to Matt Cain, Pagan might be the hardest player on the Giants to project this season. There’s no doubt (at least in my mind) that he’s still a good hitter when healthy, but can we really count on him to stay on the field anymore? It’s a contract year for Angel, and I do think he’ll be improved offensively from last year. I’m just no convinced he’ll be a healthy, reliable option for the Giants all season. Believe me, I’d love to be wrong on this one!

Denard Span | CF | Age 31

2015 Performance: 246 AB, .301 AVG, .365 OBP, 5 HR, 22 RBI, 25 BB, 26 K, 11 SB

2016 Projection

  • AB: 520
  • AVG: .295
  • OBP: .353
  • HR: 5
  • RBI: 43
  • BB: 47
  • K: 53
  • SB: 20

Forecast: The first thing Span has to do this spring is prove he has completely recovered from the extensive injuries/surgeries he suffered through in 2015. If he can do that, I think we’re in for a real treat. When the offseason began, I thought Span could be a realistic Giants target as both his high contact and low strikeout rates were something I felt would attract the organization. I’m not sure I can project 650+ PA for him right now, but that doesn’t mean Span can’t be a difference-maker from his leadoff position this year. He was a .300 hitter during his time in Washington, and I believe he’ll stay around that mark in his first season with Los Gigantes.

Gregor Blanco | OF | Age 32

2015 Projection: 345 AB, .257 AVG, .330 OBP, 4 HR, 31 RBI, 38 BB, 70 K

2015 Performance: 327 AB, .291 AVG, .368 OBP, 5 HR, 26 RBI, 40 BB, 59 K, 13 SB

2016 Projection:

  • AB: 338
  • AVG: .272
  • OBP: .351
  • HR: 4
  • RBI: 29
  • BB: 39
  • K: 65
  • SB: 14

Forecast: Blanco posted career bests in K% and batting average last season and was really on a roll offensively before a concussion cut his year short. While I think 2015 could wind up being a career best for him, he seems like a pretty solid lock for 350-450 PA of valuable production from his 4th OF/duct tape position. With 3 guys who’ve all missed significant time to injury starting ahead of him, it’s not a matter of if Blanco steps in, but when. If 2016 ends up being his last season in San Francisco, it’ll have been a pretty special run for the former non-roster camp invite.

Mac Williamson | LF | Age 25

2015 (Minors): 448 AB, .275 AVG, .368 OBP, 13 HR, 73 RBI, 51 BB, 108 K, 4 SB

2015 (Majors): 32 AB, .219 AVG, .235 OBP, 0 HR, 1 RBI, 0 BB, 8 K, 0 SB

2016 Projection

  • AB: 145
  • AVG: .269
  • OBP: .336
  • HR: 6
  • RBI: 21
  • BB: 12
  • K: 40
  • SB: 3

Forecast: Last season I made the mistake of thinking there weren’t enough plate appearances to go around for Matt Duffy to make an impact. I’m not making the same mistake this season with Mac, who is my #2 prospect in the organization. I expect the big guy to be the Giants Opening Day LF in 2017, and I believe he’ll force the front office’s hand at some point this summer.

Jarrett Parker | OF | Age 27

2015 Performance: 49 AB, .347 AVG, .407 OBP, 6 HR, 14 RBI, 5 BB, 21 K, 1 SB

2016 Projection

  • AB: 80
  • AVG: .275
  • OBP: .369
  • HR: 7
  • RBI: 19
  • BB: 10
  • K: 31
  • SB: 3

Forecast: If the Giants don’t add another OF (Ryan Raburn’s name has come up), Parker seems like a pretty serious contender for a final bench spot. It’s pretty clear at this point that his power will play at the MLB level, but I just don’t see him as more than a platoon option. That doesn’t mean he can’t be successful, and I do envision him giving the team a nice power threat off the bench this year if he earns a roster spot.

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4 thoughts on “Spring Kickoff: 2016 Outfield Projections”

  1. I’ve gotten the impression from what has been said by the Giants during spring training that WIlliamson will be in AAA to work on his game. So I really don’t expect him to up here before the roster expands this year.

    1. I agree with your take on Mac and the roster situation. However, I think he’ll force the issue at some point. If Pagan and Span play like they’re capable, it might be a moot point… But I think an opportunity will present itself.

  2. Hi Kyle/Cove Chatter team – we are putting together a Giants Prospect Chat over at mlbtopprospects.com, we would love to include your opinions and thoughts on the Giants prospects. Shoot me an email at mlbtopprospects.com@gmail.com and I will send you all the info. Looking forward to hearing from you! -Jeremy

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